Unless there are major shocks to the system, Canadians will be
living in an ever more tightly connected world in the next century.
In this world, Canada will need more than well-trained diplomats
and international lawyers. The traditional state-to-state diplomacy
that has dominated this century will be only one of several ways
that Canada will make its voice heard. Increasingly, the government
of Canada will conduct a full orchestra of Canadian players who
will participate directly in global politics.
For better and for worse, the twentieth century has been the golden
age of the state. But as the century closes, the state is losing
its monopoly as new players are entering the global field. Even
the overwhelmingly powerful United States, which, as Ambassador
Gotlieb pointed out last week, is the unchallenged leader in both
military power and cultural dominance, can accomplish far less than
it would like alone. It too often finds the world frustrating.
States everywhere are grudgingly beginning to work with new partners
in new ways. nternational organizations, non-governmental organizations,
multinational corporations, and even individuals are becoming more
and more important.
Traditional realists, accustomed to the monopoly of the state
in global politics and the pre-eminence of national security on
the foreign policy agenda, may be uncomfortable with the new players,
the new diplomacy, the wide range of assets that are required to
exert influence in a densely connected world, and broader, more
demanding agendas. They had better adjust.
The overwhelming importance of the United States to the economic
well being of Canadians is beyond dispute. Despite years of effort
to diversify our investment and trading relationships, the American
market is both relatively and absolutely more important to Canadians
than it was a decade ago.
The United States, however, is itself becoming more enmeshed in
the global economy. For the foreseeable future, the US will exercise
disproportionate influence in establishing the rules of the international
economic game as it uses its economic muscle to try to make others
adjust to its needs. As a result, we will need to invest extraordinary
effort in persuading the president, Congress, even state capitals
to recognise not only Canadian needs but also Canada's importance
to the American market.
Traditional state-to-state diplomacy will be vital, but it alone
is not enough to underscore the importance of the Canadian market
to the United States. The increasingly visible Canadian corporate
"brand" in New York, Los Angeles, Seattle, and Miami, helps to boost
awareness of Canada's entertainment, educational, software, pharmaceutical,
and telecommunications sectors in the American market. Nortel Networks,
for example, is not only one of Canada's most important companies,
but a major player in the delivery of information in North American
and global markets. In an ever more tightly connected world, Canadians
corporations are ambassadors, not only in the United States, but
wherever they go. And ambassadorships, as seasoned diplomats well
know, bring not only opportunity but also obligation.
New partnerships between government and business will not be restricted
only to the promotion of trade and investment. As states retrench
everywhere, they are sub-contracting to new partners many of what
have traditionally been regarded as essential state functions in
global politics.
Canada is no exception, even on such core issues as security,
traditionally a monopoly of the state. Canada, for example, has
turned to the private sector to provide the aircraft to train NATO
pilots in its airspace. It has contracted a private company to train
police forces on missions it has undertaken with the United Nations.
More and more, our government sets the rules of the game and then
seeks partners from the private and not-for-profit sector to accomplish
shared purposes.
Canadian non-governmental organizations are also important participants
in global politics. The non-governmental sector now reaches across
state borders to forge alliances. The rapid expansion and decentralization
of information systems and sharp reduction in the costs of international
communications have made it easier for non-governmental organizations
to build effective partnerships. The resulting pooling of ideas
and influence has put them in a much better position, not only to
work with each other, but also with national governments and international
organizations.
Canadian NGOs are partnering with their counterparts throughout
the Americas to advance common agendas in preparation for the summit
of the Americas to be held in Canada in 2000. They are also working
with the Canadian government to lobby international institutions
on arms control and environmental issues, to advance the human rights
agenda, and to deliver humanitarian relief and development assistance.
Indeed, Canada's government has taken the lead globally in partnering
with the not-for-profit sector. Early on, it worked together with
the International Committee to Ban Land Mines (ICBL) to promote
a global treaty to ban anti-personnel land mines. This partnership
of state and non-government organizations succeeded where each alone
would likely have failed.
Similarly, Canada worked with the non-governmental sector to develop
a statute for an International Criminal Court. NGOs pooled resources
to provide free legal support to state delegations lacking the information
and resources to participate effectively in the debate on the statute.
Creation of the Court will significantly advance the international
legal regime; when it is established, the Court will have the authority
to try those who stand accused of genocide and crimes against humanity.
These kinds of partnerships, between states and players from other
sectors joined together by shared objectives, are likely to become
more and more important in the global politics of the next century.
States, and the diplomats who represent them, will become primus
inter pares as citizens, corporations, and non-governmental
organizations participate directly in the new diplomatic formations.
Canada is well positioned to lead in this new diplomacy. Our experience
as a federal society has prepared our political leaders and officials
to orchestrate and co-ordinate. Canadians have long understood and
supported the importance of international law and institutions.
We already have a rich and diverse civil society, with a history
of engagement on domestic issues. It is a short and natural step
for our non-governmental sector to engage beyond our increasingly
porous borders. Similarly, more and more, Canadian companies are
looking beyond our borders, first to North American and then to
global markets.
These processes are being helped by a Canadian public that is
diverse in origin, internationalist in outlook, and unusually well
connected across borders. Canada's largest cities increasingly mirror
the globe's diverse population.
This diversity is Canada's most significant asset in the new diplomacy
of the next century. To use this asset wisely and well will be Canada's
most significant policy challenge.
Amidst the cacophony
of sounds, our conductors will have to choose from a very broad repertoire
the music that best mirrors our history, our talents, and our values,
and plan a programme that has integrity and coherence. They will have
to co-ordinate players at home and abroad, make certain that the players
bring the best possible instruments to the concert, and then lead
the orchestra. Orchestration of policy in the next century will be
far more challenging than dictation of policy was in the last, but
if the conductors get it right, Canadians -- and others -- will listen
to the concert. They may not always like the music, but they will
respect the performance.